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EUR/USD FAVORED BY THE BULLISH PRICE ACTION
00:46 11.09.2017
EUR/USD remains supported in favor of the bulls and as we can see in the H1 chart, the Fibonacci area of 50% and 65% have provided the enough momentum in order to help the pair to consolidate above the critical level of 1.20. Because of the rebound above such area and the 200 SMA at H1 chart, we’re expecting a bullish continuation towards the -23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.2165. Corrective moves should be limited by the 38.2% Fibo zone.
RSI indicator is still in the neutral territory, calling for a bullish consolidation before any significant move.
On H1, the inability of the bulls to lead the pair outside of the descending channel and formation of the bar with the long upper wick points at buyers’ weakness. Realization of the inverted 5-0 pattern is delayed.
On H1, NZD/USD reached the targets if the “Widening wedge”, “Three Indians” and 1-2-3. If the pair renews correction low with the following decline below the lower border of an uptrend channel, risks of reaching 88.6% target of a Shark pattern will increase.
On the daily chart, the inability of bulls to push the pair out of the uptrend channel and formation of the bar with a long upper wick points at their weakness. It strengthens the risks of correction at least to 0.7937-0.7954.
On H1, AUD/USD reached the targets of “Widening wedge”, “3 Indians” and 1-2-3. The break of support at 0.8028 and the pair’s leaving the uptrend channel will increase the risks of the pair reaching 88.6% target of the Shark pattern.
Technical levels: support – 1.2000, 1.1980; resistance – 1.2075.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 1.1980; SL — 1.1960; TP1 — 1.2030; TP2 – 1.2075.
Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, rising Tenkan and Kijun; the prices are on the support of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen.
AUD/USD: AUSSIE LOOKING FOR SUPPORT OF KIJUN
07:42 11.09.2017
Technical levels: support – 0.8030; resistance – 0.8080, 0.8120.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 0.8030; SL — 0.8010; TP1 — 0.8080; TP3 — 0.8120.
Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud, rising Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with rising lines; the market is seeking the support on Kijun-sen for continue uptrend.
We've got a "V-Top", so the price is declining. In this case, we should keep an eye on the nearest support at 1.1978 - 1.1949 as an intraday target. If a pullback from this area happens, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward price movement in the direction of the closest resistance at 1.2129.
The 34 Moving Average has acted as support, so the price is consolidating. Therefore, the market is likely going to test the 89 MA in the short term. However, if a pullback from this line happens, we could have another bullish rally towards the next resistance at 1.2080 - 1.2129.
Bulls faced with resistance at 1.3223, so the price tested the nearest support at 1.3164. In this case, the pair is likely going to rise in the direction of the next resistance at 1.3249 - 1.3265, which means we could have a new local high pretty soon.
The price is consolidating between the levels 1.3223 - 1.3164. Also, there's a "Pennant" pattern, so the market is likely going to achieve the nearest resistance at 1.3249 - 1.3265 soon. If a pullback from these levels happens, we could have a decline towards the closest support at 1.3164 - 1.3149.
EUR/USD: PULLBACK FROM 7/8 MM LEVEL
09:05 11.09.2017
There's a pullback from 7/8 MM Level, so wave [i] may have been formed. In this case, we could have a bearish correction in the short term. The main target for wave [ii] is 6/8 MM Level, which could be a departure point for wave [iii].
8/8 MM Level has acted as resistance, so we've got a bearish impulse in wave (a). Also, there's a pullback from 5/8 MM Level, so the price is rising. If a pullback from 7/8 MM Level happens, bears are likely going to deliver wave (c) of [ii].
The price reached the upper "Window", but there isn't any reversal pattern so far. Moreover, there's a possible bullish "Three Methods". So, we could have the price even higher in the short term. If any bearish pattern forms afterwards, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline.
The last bullish "Morning Star" led to the current upward price movement. At the same time, we've got a "Three Methods" pattern, so the pair is likely going to reach the 89 Moving Average during the day.
We've got a bearish "High Wave", which has been confirmed. In this case, the market is likely going to test the nearest support. If a pullback from this level happens, there'll be an opportunity to have just another upward price movement.
The 34 Moving Average is acting as support, so we've got a bullish "Hammer" at the local low. However, this pattern doesn't have confirmation, so the price is likely going to continue declining towards the 55 MA.
