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Sell — 0.7630; SL — 0.7650; TP1 — 0.7570; TP2 — 0.7530.
Reason: expanding bearish Ichimoku Cloud with falling Senkou Span A and B; an irregular golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, falling Kijun-sen; the prices returned into the negative area and may continue falling down.
USD/JPY: DOLLAR SUPPORTED BY SENKOU SPAN B
08:04 13.11.2017
Technical levels: support – 113.00; resistance – 113.60, 114.00.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 113.50; SL — 113.30; TP1 — 114.00; TP2 — 114.40.
Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud, but falling Senkou Span A; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are supported by Senkou Span B and may return to upper border of a Cloud.
The 34 Moving Average has acted as resistance, so there's a "Thorn" pattern. In this case, we could have a decline towards the nearest support area at 1.1634 - 1.1615. If a pullback from this area happens, bulls will probably try to reach another resistance at 1.1668 - 1.1695.
We've got a "Thorn" pattern, so the market is consolidating. It's likely that the pair is going to achieve the next support at 1.1615 in the coming hours. However, if a pullback from this level happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward price movement towards the closest resistance at 1.1689 - 1.1695.
The last "Thorn" pattern has been confirmed by the "Breakaway Gap". So, the market is likely going to test the nearest support area 1.3087 - 1.3069. If we see a pullback from these levels, we should keep an eye on the next resistance at 1.3150 - 1.3182 as an intraday target.
There's a new "Breakaway Gap", which was formed this morning. The main bearish target is the next support area at 1.3080 - 1.3074, which could be a departure point for a bullish price movement in the direction of another resistance at 1.3182 - 1.3105.
The 55 Moving Average is acting as resistance, so we've got a "Shooting Star" on this line. However, confirmation of this pattern is a quite weak, so we could have just a local bearish correction. If a pullback from the nearest support happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward price movement towards the 89 Moving Average.
There's a bearish "Three Methods" pattern, which has been strongly confirmed. Also, there isn't any reversal pattern so far. In this case, the market is likely going to decline in the direction of the nearest support level, which could be a departure point for another bullish rally.
The 21 & 34 Moving Averages are acting as resistance, so there's a bearish "Harami" pattern, which has been confirmed enough. Therefore, the price is likely going to get support on the lower "Window" in the short term.
The price has been consolidating under the Moving Averages. Also, there's a bearish "Tower", which has been confirmed by the last "Three Methods" pattern. So, the market is likely going to continue declining during the day.
On the daily chart, XAU/USD formed a triangle. A break of its upper border close to $1266 an ounce will return the price inside the downtrend channel and increase the odds of achieving 78.6% and 200% of Gartley and AB=CD. On the other hand, successful test of resistance at $1288 will revive hope for the uptrend’s resumption.
On H1, XAU/USD formed a “Widening wedge”. Traders can bet on the break of $1268-1287 range.
On the daily chart, the inability of bears to let USD/CAD outside of the uptrend channel points at sellers’ weakness. Bulls managed to hold to 1.2717 and are able to go to 88.6% target of the “Shark” pattern.
On H1, a break of the upper border of the downtrend channel increases the risks of triggering AB=CD pattern and reaching 127.2%, 161.8%, and 200% targets. However, at first, bulls need to push the pair above 1.2830.
The main trend is still bearish, but the price is consolidating. The 55 Moving Average is acting as resistance, so the pair is likely going to reach the nearest support at 1.1634 - 1.1615 in the short term. If a pullback from this levels happens little later on, we could have another upward price movement towards the next resistance at 1.1695 - 1.1724.
There's a "Double Bottom" pattern, which has been formed above the 34 Moving Average, so the price is consolidating. The main intraday target is the closest resistance at 1.1689 - 1.1695. If we have a pullback from this area, bears will probably try to reach the 89 MA.
Bears faced support at 1.3087, so there's a "V-Bottom" pattern, which pushed the price higher. Nevertheless, if the 34 Moving Average acts as resistance, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline towards the nearest support at 1.3087 - 1.3069. This area could be a departure point for another bullish price movement.
There's a "V-Bottom" pattern, which led to the current upward price movement. The main intraday target is the nearest resistance at 1.3150. Meanwhile, if we have a pullback from this level, bears will have a green light to test the closest support at 1.3085 afterwards.
