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On the daily chart, AUD/USD bulls want to resume the uptrend. To do it, they need to conquer resistance at 0.7885-0.7895. On the other hand, the inability of buyers to push the pair above support at 0.7810 will increase the odds of triggering 5-0 pattern.
On H1, bulls took the initiative after AUD/USD formed a “Widening wedge”. At the same time, a decline below 0.7812 will create grounds for correction.
Buy — 1.1980; SL — 1.1960; TP1 — 1.2060; TP2 – 1.2100.
Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud, rising Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-se, but narrowing channel of Tenkan-Kijun; the market breakdown the support of Kijun and will test the Cloud’s support.
Buy — 1.3530; SL — 1.3510; TP1 — 1.3590; TP2 — 1.3630.
Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a cancelled dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the market on the support of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but it needs correction to Cloud.
Bulls faced with resistance at 1.2091, so the price is consolidating. Also, there's a "Double Top" pattern, which has been confirmed. So, the pair is likely going to test the nearest support area at 1.1939 - 1.1934. Meanwhile, if a pullback from these levels happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward price movement towards the next resistance at 1.2080 - 1.2129.
The 89 Moving Average is acting as support, but the market is likely going to test the next support at 1.1941. If we have a pullback from this level, bulls will probably try to reach another resistance at 1.2059 - 1.2080.
The main trend is still bullish, but the price is consolidating near the 34 Moving Average. Also, there's a bearish "Flag", so the market is likely going to test the closest support at 1.3465. However, if a pullback from this level happens, we could have a bullish price movement towards the next resistance at 1.3595 - 1.3618.
We've got a bearish "Flag" on the one-hour chart. In this case, the pair is likely going to reach the nearest support at 1.3484 - 1.3465 in the coming hours. This area could be a departure point for an upward price movement in the direction of another resistance at 1.3595 - 1.3612.
There's a pullback from 3/8 MM Level, so wave [iii] might have been formed. Therefore, we could have wave [iv] in the short term inside a possible ending diagonal.
The price has been declining since a pullback from 6/8 MM Level happened. It seems like wave iv ended, so there's an opportunity to have bearish wave v of (a) pretty soon.
On the daily chart, bulls managed to return XAU/USD to the uptrend channel. After that the pair formed a “Shakeout-Fakeout” pattern. This increases the risks of the bullish trend’s resumption. To begin with, buyers need to conquer resistance at $1321 an ounce. Their inability to do it will point at their weakness.
On H1, XAU/USD formed a “Spike and ledge” on the base of 1-2-3.
On the daily chart, USD/CAD bears managed to lead the pair outside of consolidation range of 1.2670-1.2895. This increases the risks of the downtrend’s resumption. In the short-term traders can use the inside bar.
On H1, USD/CAD after playing out the “Widening wedge”. The pair formed a short-term consolidation range at 1.2375-1.2445. It would be wise to use breakout strategies.
Sell — 0.7880; SL — 0.7900; TP1 — 0.7830; TP2 — 0.7780.
Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud with horizontal Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but the narrowing channel of Tenkan-Kijun; the market is under strong main resistance of 0.7880.
USD/JPY: DOLLAR RETURNED TO CLOUD
07:25 09.01.2018
Technical levels: support – 112.50; resistance – 113.00
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 113.10; SL — 112.90; TP1 — 113.80; TP2 — 114.50.
Sell — 112.60; SL — 112.80; TP1 — 112.00; TP2 — 111.00.
Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud with horizontal Senkou Span Aand B; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but narrowing channel of Tenkan-Kijun; the prices returned to support of the Cloud.
