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NZD/USD IS GATHERING STRENGTH FOR TAKEOFF
11:03 04.09.2017
Recommendations:
BUY 0.7205
SL 0.715
TP1 0.7295 TP2 0.7345 TP2 0.7395
On the daily chart, NZD/USD keeps correcting to the long-term uptrend as the “Shark” pattern is transforming into 5-0. Bulls retain hopes for return to 61.8% and 50% of the wave CD with the following recovery of the trend.
On H1, NZD/USD is forming the “widening wedge” pattern. Another test of resistance at 0.7205 will end the process. Success will allow bulls to count on a correction to the current short-term downtrend.
EUR/USD: WAVE (II) IS ABOUT TO END
11:13 04.09.2017
There's developing wave 4, which is likely going to take the form of a zigzag. So, we could have a downward impulse in wave [c] soon. If a pullback from 1/8 MM Level happens afterwards, there'll be an opportunity to have another bullish rally.
Wave [b] has been formed like a zigzag, so there's a bearish impulse in wave (i). At the same time, wave (ii) is about to end, so we're likely going to have a decline in wave (iii) of [c] during the day.
On the daily chart, AUD/USD formed a triangle. A break of its upper border will create conditions needed for an advance to 0.8000. On the other hand, it the pair quits bullish trend channels, risks of correction will strengthen.
On H1, there’s a “Widening wedge” pattern. The successful test of 0.7982 will allow bulls to keep moving up. On the other hand, decline to support 0.7918 will return initiative to bears.
GBP/USD: TRADES IN CLOUD WILL CONTINUE
12:00 04.09.2017
Technical levels: support – 1.2920, 1.2900; resistance – 1.3020.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 1.2920; SL — 1.2900; TP1 — 1.2970; TP2 — 1.3020.
Reason: narrow bullish Ichimoku Cloud with horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a cancelled dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but the lines are horizontal; the market is supported by Tenkan and Kijun.
Technical levels: support – 0.7940; resistance – 0.8000.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 0.7940/50; SL — 0.7920; TP1 — 0.8000; TP3 — 0.8040.
Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud, horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a cancelled dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, the lines are horizontal; the prices are returned to the Cloud and supported by Tenkan, Kijun and upper border of the Cloud.
On the daily chart, XAU/USD keeps rallying towards 200% target of the AB=CD pattern. The area of $1347-1352 acts as key resistance. Support is near $1320.4-1321.6. Bulls retain control, so buying on the pullbacks is the main strategy.
On H1, XAU/USD keeps forming “Spike and reversal with acceleration”. As long as the pair remains above the trend line of the first stage ($1290), the outlook is bullish.
USD/CAD: BULLS ARE COUNTING ON A TRIANGLE
09:47 05.09.2017
Recommendation:
SELL 1.2505 SL 1.256 TP 1.231 TP2 1.218
SELL 1.255 SL 1.261 TP 1.245 TP2 1.231
On the daily chart, USD/CAD bears managed to renew the long-term low. This increases the risks of the continuation of the decline to 1.2310, 1.2180 and 1.2040. Never the less, we can’t exclude the possibility of a short-term pullback because of the inside bar.
On H1, bears returned the pair inside the descending channel. This is a sign of their strength. At the same time, a break of the upper border of the triangle will create the risks of a pullback towards 1.2501-1.2507 and 1.254-1.2559.
Technical levels: support – 1.1870/80; resistance – 1.1950, 1.1990.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 1.1910; SL — 1.1880; TP1 — 1.1950; TP2 – 1.1990.
Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud, but horizontal Senkou Span A and B; an irregular golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, narrow channel of Tenkan-Kijun; the prices are supported by Cloud.
USD/JPY: DOLLAR GOING TO NEGATIVE AREA
10:05 05.09.2017
Technical levels: support – 190.30, 108.90; resistance – 109.60, 109.90.
Trade recommendations:
Sell — 109. 50; SL — 109.70; TP1 — 108.90; TP2 — 108.50.
Reason: narrow bullish Ichimoku Cloud with horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a new dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen and the falling lines; Dollar is going to new lows and may breakdown the support of the Cloud.
The price is consolidating between the levels 1.1909 - 1.1875. It's likely that bears are going to test the 55 Moving Average, so we could have a new local low soon. However, if a pullback from this line happens, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward price movement towards the nearest resistance at 1.1909 - 1.1959.
There's a consolidation, which is taking place above the 89 Moving Average. It seems like we're going to have a "Flag" pattern. If so, bears will probably try to test the closest support area at 1.1827 - 1.1822. Meanwhile, if a pullback from these levels happens, we could have an upward correction.
