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  #861  
Velho 17-01-2018, 14:44
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EURUSD Daily Analytics
13:05 17.01.2018



There's a "High Wave" pattern, which has been formed at the last local high. If the 34 Moving Average acts as support, there'll be an opportunity to have another upward price movement.



The last "Shooting Star" led to the current decline. However, we could have a local upward correction in the coming hours. Nevertheless, the 89 Moving Average is likely going to act as support little later on.

More:
[URL=https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eurusd-high-wave-pattern-6295]https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eurusd-high-wave-pattern-6295[/URL]
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Velho 17-01-2018, 14:52
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[b]USD/JPY Daily analytics[b]
13:07 17.01.2018



There's a bullish "Doji", which has been formed at the local low. So, the market is likely going to test the 34 Moving Average, which could be a departure point for another decline.



We've got a "Doji" pattern on the 34 Moving Average. It's likely that the pair is going to reach the 89 MA soon. If a pullback from this line happens, bears will probably try to break the last low.

More:
[URL=https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/usd-jpy-doji-pattern-on-the-34-ma-6296]https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/usd-jpy-doji-pattern-on-the-34-ma-6296[/URL]
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EUR/JPY Daily Analytics
07:13 18.01.2018

Recommendation:

BUY 136.10

SL 135.55

TP1 137.10 TP2 138.00

On the daily chart, the initiative returned to bulls as EUR/JPY rebounded from the uptrend’s lower border. If the pair exits from the current short-term consolidation with the following renewal of January high, this will trigger the pattern AB=CD. Its 127.2% target is at 138.00.



On H1, EUR/JPY is in the sustainable uptrend. A break for the triangle’s upper border moved bulls to the next goal. A successful test of resistance 136.10 creates grounds for continuation to the north.



More:
[URL=https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur-jpy-bulls-are-developing-an-attack-6312]https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur-jpy-bulls-are-developing-an-attack-6312[/URL]
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[b]USD/JPY Daily Analytics[b]
07:36 18.01.2018
Recommendation:

BUY 112.10

SL 111.55

TP 113.00 TP2 114.30 TP3 115.00

On the daily chart, USD/JPY bulls managed to fight back bears and return the pair inside the previous downtrend channel. This increases buyers’ chances for revenge. To begin with, they need to take an important resistance of 111.65.



On H1, USD/JPY can for the Dragon’s head in line with the “Dragon” pattern in the 111.70-112.05 range. Only a confident break of the previous consolidation will allow bulls continue the rally.




More:
[URL=https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/usd-jpy-bulls-want-revenge-6313]https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/usd-jpy-bulls-want-revenge-6313[/URL]
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Velho 18-01-2018, 11:08
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EUR/USD Daily Analytics
08:13 18.01.2018
Technical levels: support – 1.2160, 1.2130; resistance – 1.2260.

Trade recommendations:

Buy — 1.2130; SL — 1.2110; TP1 — 1.20200; TP2 – 1.2260.
Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud, rising Senkou Span A and B; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are on the support of Kijun-sen, but correction may continue to Cloud’s levels.



More:
[URL=https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur-usd-euro-supported-by-kijun-sen-6315]https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur-usd-euro-supported-by-kijun-sen-6315[/URL]
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USD/JPY Daily Analytics
08:14 18.01.2018
Technical levels: support – 111.00; resistance – 111.60

Trade recommendations:

Sell — 111.60; SL — 111.80; TP1 — 111.00; TP2 — 110.50.
Reason: narrowing bearish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but narrowing channel Tenkan-Kijun; the market is in correction phase.



More:
[URL=https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/usd-jpy-dollar-in-correction-to-cloud-6316]https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/usd-jpy-dollar-in-correction-to-cloud-6316[/URL]
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Velho 18-01-2018, 11:23
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THE NEW ZEALAND DAIRY INDUSTRY – KEY FOR NZD TRADERS
08:53 18.01.2018

Why is it important for traders to know the priority industries of countries whose currencies they trade and take into account such events as the Global Dairy Trade (GDT), for example?

Let’s look at New Zealand. If you trade the New Zealand dollar, you should know that New Zealand is the world dairy leader. The dairy industry is the biggest export earner of New Zealand, it contains 29% of its export.

Fonterra
It is important to tell about Fonterra. Fonterra is a New Zealand multinational dairy co-operative that is responsible for about 30% of the world’s dairy exports. It is owned by around 10,500 New Zealand farmers.

What can affect the New Zealand dairy industry
Any changes in global dairy prices lead to changes in New Zealand trade, in turn, the New Zealand dollar.

It is worth to say that dairy industry was affected by several events. They are the Russian trade embargo, the cut of Chinese imports and dynamics in the international currency exchange market.

In 2013 Russia banned the imports of the Fonterra products, that was the second exporter on the Russian market. So it means that New Zealand lost a big importer, that affected the supply and New Zealand dollar as well. But nowadays New Zealand products have come back to the Russian market, that created good prospects for the currency.

It is important to take into account that China is one of the main trade partners of New Zealand, so any changes in import will affect the New Zealand export and exchange rate as well. Now New Zealand is raising its share in Chinese import of dairy products.

Considering currency exchange market, the weakness of the US dollar has a good impact on the New Zealand dollar.

What GDT is
Coming back to another important part of our question, let’s talk about GDT. GDT is the leading global auction for trading large volume of dairy ingredients and reference price discovery. Global Dairy Trade affects the price of currency because it regulates the number of dairy products that imports and exports in the world.

Below you can see the New Zealand Global Dairy Trade Price Index. It measures the weighted-average price of 9 dairy products sold at auction every two weeks. So we can see if commodity prices rise, export income increases and vice versa.



Tips
In February 2018 the GDT will take place on Tuesday, February 6 at 12:00 UTC and on Tuesday, February 20 at 12:00 UTC.

Conclusion
Let’s sum up why traders should take into account main industries of the countries whose currencies they trade. We can say on the example of New Zealand that if traders know strengths of countries and take into consideration even such specific events as Global Dairy Trade, it can help them to make right decisions about currency trade.

Talking about prospects of New Zealand dollar we can say that it has good chances according to its dairy industry: the come back to the Russian market, the weakness of the US dollar and the increasing share in Chinese imports support its increase.

More:
[URL=https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/the-new-zealand-dairy-industry-%E2%80%93-key-for-nzd-traders-6318]https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/the-new-zealand-dairy-industry-%E2%80%93-key-for-nzd-traders-6318[/URL]
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EURUSD Daily Analytics
11:20 18.01.2018



The main trend is still bullish, but there's a bearish "Triple Top" pattern, so the market is likely going to test the nearest support area at 1.2129 - 1.2080. If a pullback from these levels happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have another upward price movement towards the next resistance at 1.2296 - 1.2322.



The 55 Moving Average has acted as support, so the price is consolidating. In this case, we should keep an eye on the closest resistance at 1.2246 - 1.2272 as an intraday target. This area could be a departure point for a decline in the direction of the nearest support at 1.2129 - 1.20280.

More:
[URL=https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eurusd-bearish-triple-top-pattern-6321]https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eurusd-bearish-triple-top-pattern-6321[/URL]
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GBP/USD Daily Analytics
11:22 18.01.2018



Bulls faced with resistance at 1.3913, so there's a bearish "Thorn" pattern. The main intraday target is the closest support at 1.3765 - 1.3730. Meanwhile, if a pullback from this area is on the table, the pair will probably try to reach another resistance at 1.3913 - 1.3942.



There's a "V-Top" pattern, so the price is consolidating. It's likely that the market is going to test the closest resistance at 1.3834 - 1.3871. If we have a pullback from these levels, there'll be a moment to have a decline towards another support at 1.3765 - 1.3730.

More:
[URL=https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/gbp-usd-thorn-pattern-6322]https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/gbp-usd-thorn-pattern-6322[/URL]
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EURUSD Daily Analytics
12:29 18.01.2018



We've got a "High Wave" and an "Engulfing" patterns, which both have been formed at the last high. So, the market is likely going to test the 34 Moving Average in the short term.



There's a bullish "Harami", which has been confirmed by the last "Three Methods" pattern. Therefore, we should keep an eye on the upper "Window" as the next intraday target.

More:
[URL=https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eurusd-bullish-harami-6323]https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eurusd-bullish-harami-6323[/URL]
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