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There's a bullish "Doji", which has been confirmed enough. Also, we've got a bullish "Three Methods" pattern, so the market is likely going to test the 89 Moving Average soon.
The last bullish "Harami" has confirmation, so there's an opportunity to have a new local high soon. Meanwhile, if a pullback from the nearest resistance area happens, there'll be a moment to have another decline.
There's a pullback from 4/8 MM Level, so wave [iv] might have been formed. In this case, we're likely going to have wave [v] of 5 shortly. The main intraday target is 6/8 MM Level.
It's likely that wave [iv] finished like a double three pattern, so there's a developing upward impulse in wave (i). If a pullback from +1/8 MM Level happens little later on, there'll be a moment to have wave (ii) of [v].
Sell — 0.8030; SL — 0.8050; TP1 — 0.7980; TP2 — 0.7940.
Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a cancelled golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; a market is overbought and under the strong resistance of 0.8030.
Sell — 110.70/80; SL — 111.00; TP1 — 110.30; TP2 — 110.00.
Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud with horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a weak goldean cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with horizontal lines; the prices are on the weak Kijun’s support.
The cryptocurrency continues to depreciate against the US dollar and still keeps intact the projections we have made in past reports. Technically speaking, the BTC/USD is finding support for the Fibonacci extension of 61.8% in 9.259. This has allowed to have relief in the short term and is waiting to resume the bearish trend.
Fears regarding strict regulations for Bitcoin are still latent and the latest news about it does not favor BTC bulls. According to the latest reports, the government of India is beginning to send tax notices to the cryptocurrency traders. On the other hand, an introduced bill could force South Korean officials to declare their investments in this market.
The Parabolic SAR on the H4 chart is calling for more losses in the Bitcoin because it remains below the 200-hour moving average, which continues to guide the path of the BTC/USD pair in the short term. In addition, the resistance of 23.6% continues to block the advance of the bulls, which produced the formation of an enveloping candlestick.
What do we expect?
According to our forecasts in the H4 chart, cryptocurrency still has enough traction to reach the goal of the 100% Fibonacci extension in 5,754, which would complete a cycle in the short term. The RSI remains in negative territory, which favors the falls in the BTC and which strengthens our hypothesis for the week ahead
EUR/AUD remains trading around the Fibonacci zone of 61.8% at 1.5265, at which it’s expecting to find a strong rebound in order to allow further gains across the board. The ongoing consolidation could strengthen such bias and if it manages to break once again above the 200 SMA at H1 chart, the next short-term target would be the -23.6% Fibonacci level at 1.5514.
RSI indicator remains in the negative territory, but it’s close to the neutral territory.
Technical levels: support – 1.2210; resistance – 1.2300.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 1.2230; SL — 1.1210; TP1 — 1.2300; TP2 — 1.2330
Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a new golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with Tenkan-sen; the prices are supported by Cloud.
Technical levels: support – 1.3840; resistance – 1.3940.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 1.3840/60; SL — 1.3820; TP1 — 1.3940; TP2 — 1.3980.
Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, rising Tenkan-sen; a market is on the strong support of Kijun-sen.
On the daily chart, the inability of NZD/USD bulls to hold an important support at 0.7250-0.7265 points at their weakness. The odds of the reversal “Widening wedge” pattern will increase in the pair slides below 0.7170. On the other hand, a break of resistance levels at 0.7395 and 0.7475 will allow speaking about the uptrend’s resumption.
On H1, NZD/USD keeps forming a “Widening wedge”. A successful test of support at 0.7230 will create a possibility for a decline to 0.7120 and 0.7055.
EUR/USD: WAVE (II) IS ABOUT TO END
08:40 22.01.2018
There's a pullback from 4/8 MM Level, so wave [iv] might have been formed. Therefore, there's an opportunity to have wave [v] of 5 in the short term. The main bullish target is 6/8 MM Level, which could be a departure point for a downward correction.
The price is consolidating above 8/8 MM Level. It's likely that wave (ii) is about to end, so we're going to have wave (iii) of [v] pretty soon. Also, if the price goes through +2/8 MM Level, the Murray Math indication will be updated.
