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On the daily chart, NZD/USD keeps retracing in line with the transformation of the “Shark” pattern to 5-0. Return of the pair to resistance at 0.7386 (23.6% of the wave CD) and its following successful test will increase the odds of the uptrend’s resumption.
On H1, bulls are ready to launch a third attack on 0.7334. Their success will trigger the “Shark” pattern and increase the odds of reaching 88.6% target. We don’t exclude the possibility of an inverted “Head and Shoulders” pattern.
EUR/USD: 34 MA ACTED AS RESISTANCE
11:29 21.08.2017
The 34 Moving Average has acted as resistance, so the price is consolidating. It seems like the market is going to reach the nearest support at 1.1712 - 1.1683. If a pullback from this area happens, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward price movement towards the next resistance at 1.1801 - 1.1846.
The price is consolidating along resistance at 1.1757. If a pullback from the 55 Moving Average happens, bears are likely going to achieve the closest support between the levels 1.1727 - 1.1712. Nevertheless, we should keep an eye on the next resistance at 1.1784 - 1.1801 as a bullish target.
The last "Flag" pattern has been broken, so the price reached support at 1.2830. Also, there's a "Thorn" pattern, so the market is likely going to test the nearest support at 1.2811. If a pullback from this level happens, bulls will have a green light to reach the next resistance at 1.2892 - 1.2911.
There's a consolidation, which is taking place under the 34 Moving Average. So, the pair is likely going to reach the closest resistance at 1.2892. If we have a pullback from this level, bears will probably try to test support at 1.2930 - 1.2811.
The price has been consolidating since an impulse in wave [iii] finished. It seems like we could have a zigzag in wave [iv]. So, we could have another bearish impulse in wave (c) of [iv] pretty soon.
There's a possible wedge pattern in wave (a) of [iv]. Therefore, we could have wave (b), which is likely going to take the form of a double zigzag. In this case, we should keep an eye on 6/8 MM Level as an intraday bullish target.
We've got a bearish "Doji" on the 34 Moving Average, but confirmation of this pattern isn't enough. So, the price is likely going to test the closest support area, which could be a departure point for an upward price movement.
We've got an "Engulfing" pattern at the last local high. Considering confirmation of this pattern, the price is likely going to test the nearest support level. The bearish main target is the lower "Window".
The lower "Window" has acted as support, so we've got an "Inverted Hammer". However, the price couldn't break the upper "Window", so bears are likely going to test the nearest support once again.
We've got a local bullish "Harami", which hasn't been confirmed yet. So, the price is likely going to test the closest resistance. If a pullback from this level happens, we could have just another decline.
Oil (WTI) didn’t achieve to consolidate its gains above the 200 SMA at H1 chart and around that area, it found dynamic resistance; a move that was confirmed with a double top pattern. The Fibonacci area of 50% and 65% has been providing the enough supply to make a sell-off in the crude and it’s now heading to lower levels.
If the crude oil manages to break below August 17th lows, we can expect further weakness towards -23.6% at 45.57. RSI indicator remains in the negative territory, favoring to the bears.
The price is consolidating under the previously broken trend line. So, the pair is likely going to test the 34 Moving Average. If a pullback from this line happens, there'll be an opportunity to have another upward price movement towards the next resistance at 1.1846 - 1.1875.
We've got a local "Double Top" pattern, which has been confirmed, so the price is testing the nearest support at 1.1801. It seems like bears are going to reach the next support at 1.1773. However, if we have a pullback from this level, bulls will probably try to achieve another resistance at 1.1838 - 1.1846.
On the daily chart, XAU/USD managed to return inside the bullish medium-term uptrend channel. Successful test of resistance at $1297 will trigger AB=CD pattern. Its 200% is near $1385. On the other hand, failure will allow bears to seize the initiative.
On H1, XAU/USD formed a reversal pattern: a combination of “Three Indians” and 1-2-3. A break below correction low at the point 2 will signal the start of corrective move. There’s also diagonal resistance at 23.6% of the last bullish wave.
On the daily chart, AUD/USD managed to settle above the important level of 0.7900 (23.6% of the last bullish wave). The odds of the uptrend’s resumption are now higher. The growth of Australian dollar towards 200% target of the AB=CD pattern may continue in case of a successful test of resistance at 0.7960.
On H1, AUD/USD reached targets of the “Widening wedge”. A break of resistance at 0.9660 will increase the odds of meeting 88.6% and 113% targets of the “Shark” pattern.
